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Urgent| 3 scenarios for Tehran’s revenge.. Is Iran ready for a major war with Israel?

Urgent|  3 scenarios for Tehran’s revenge.. Is Iran ready for a major war with Israel?

On April 1, 2024, Israel reportedly attacked the Iranian consulate located in the Iranian embassy complex in the Syrian capital, Damascus.

 

The attack led to the death of 13 people, including two diplomats. And five officers and two generals in the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Mohammad Reza Zahedi and Mohammad Hadi Haji Rahimi. General Zahedi is the highest-ranking military member of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard to be killed since the assassination of General Qassem Soleimani in January 2020.

 

The residence of Iranian Ambassador Hossein Akbari is located on the top two floors of the building. Fortunately, when the attack occurred, he and his family were at the embassy in a nearby house and escaped death.

 

The Syrian Ministry of Defense said that the Iranian consulate was hit by six missiles fired from Israeli aircraft from F-35 model and completely destroyed it.

 

So far, Israel has attacked many Iranian targets, but this is the first time it is believed to have targeted an Iranian diplomatic facility abroad.< /p>

 

The Zionist entity did not acknowledge the attack

 

Western media reported that Israel has not yet officially acknowledged that its army  He was the one who carried out the attack. Meanwhile, Israeli Ambassador to Moscow Simon Halperin announced in a press conference that the building destroyed in the attack was not the Iranian consulate but rather a neighboring building.

Israeli authorities have not officially confirmed or denied their involvement in the attack, but several Israeli officials have They spoke on condition of anonymity. They told the New York Times: The attack was carried out by the Israeli Air Force.

Major news agencies in the world such as the BBC, Associated Press, Agence France-Presse, TASS… They all reported that Israel attacked the consulate in Syria, and before publishing reports, their correspondents must go to the scene to check very carefully.

The UN Security Council held an emergency meeting and most countries of the world, including European Union countries, condemned Israel. On this attack.

This action not only increases the confrontation between Israel and Iran, but also expands the scope of the war to include the entire Middle East region, which has been very dangerous during the past six months due to the Israeli aggression against the Palestinian Gaza Strip.

 

 

The attack on the Iranian consulate in Syria and a number of Iranian Revolutionary Guard generals will not only not solve any problems, but on the contrary, it will not It only causes the anger of pro-Iranian resistance movements such as Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, the Houthis, and many armed groups to take revenge on Israel.

 

 

And in In 2020, the United States and Israel killed the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, General Qassem Soleimani, and then many senior Iranian generals and experts were killed, but this not only did not suppress anti-Israel activities, but also made the situation more tense, and is not beneficial to Israel itself.

 

Possible scenarios

 

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Ebrahim Raisi announced that the actions of Israel. 

Iran ordered all armed forces to be on alert and prepared for the scenario of direct confrontation with Israel.

 

On April 6, the president confirmed Staff of the Iranian Army Mohammad Bagheri said that Iran’s response will cause the greatest amount of damage and make Israel regret, and Iran will consider the appropriate time to respond and develop a comprehensive implementation plan.

It also considers  American Intelligence "CIA" And “Mossad” Israel believes that Iran’s response is inevitable, and both countries are actively preparing to deal with a possible attack.

On April 4, US President Joe Biden held a phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to discuss the possibility of Iran attacking Israel directly. This was considered one of the worst scenarios for which Tel Aviv and Washington must prepare.

For its part, the United States is preparing for a major attack by Iran on American forces in the Middle East.

Political analysts point out that The following possible scenarios:

First: Iran launched attacks with long-range ballistic missiles on targets inside Israeli territory.

The Iranian news agency “IRNA” said: Iran currently possesses 9 types of ballistic missiles capable of reaching Israeli territory.

It is certain that Tel Aviv will respond forcefully if Iran confronts Israel directly. Immediately after the attack on the Iranian consulate in Syria, Israel was forced to put a nationwide alert, put the entire army on combat readiness, and tighten security measures to deal with the risk of enemy retaliation.

The Chief of the General Staff of the Israeli Army warned Lieutenant General Herzi Halevy said that the army is ready to move in all directions against attacks coming from Iran.

This is an extremely dangerous scenario that will lead to a comprehensive war in the Middle East, attracting many parties to participate in it. No one wants that.< /p>

 

Iran is fully capable of attacking Israel with ballistic missiles. This possibility is not unlikely, but it is very unlikely. Iran claims that it is very strict, but it is not ready for a large, direct war with Israel.

 

Second: The pro-Iranian organizations, led by Hezbollah, have increased the firing of missiles and drones at Israel.

Hezbollah is the most powerful non-governmental armed force in the world, and is stronger than the regular Lebanese army.

 Hezbollah’s combat power has increased significantly since the 2006 Lebanon War.

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According to military sources, Hezbollah currently possesses about 120,000 to 130,000 missiles of all types, and Tehran has provided Hezbollah with new and modern weapons.

This is also the case. A very dangerous scenario, but still possible.

 

Currently, Hezbollah and the pro-Iranian resistance movements in Iraq and Syria are still regularly launching missiles at Israel. 

Even if Israel mobilizes all of its air defense forces to intercept these missiles, attacks on Israeli cities and military installations will cause great damage to Tel Aviv.

 

Third: It was not announced. Iran retaliates by striking Israeli targets abroad, including diplomatic corps. However, this is also one of the big risks for Israel. With the exception of diplomatic agencies, Israeli diplomats abroad have been attacked by extremist elements. Although Iran did not threaten, Israel was forced to close 28 of its embassies and consulates in many countries of the world.

 

Until now, no one knows how and when Iran will respond. Iran is carefully studying the procedures and timing of its response to Israel.

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