Retirement roulette as Americans’ 401(k) nest eggs targeted by shadow banks that are about to implode
With stock markets sliding and oil prices surging, Americans already face a shaky outlook for their retirement savings.
Now, a new proposal from the Trump administration could expose millions of 401(k) accounts to a far riskier corner of Wall Street.
The plan would open the door for so-called ‘private credit’ funds – a fast-growing but opaque industry often dubbed ‘shadow banking’ – to be included in everyday retirement portfolios.
On Monday, the Labor Department – which regulates workplace retirement accounts – formally proposed new rules designed to make it easier for 401(k) plans to include private equity and private credit investments.
The move is a major win for Wall Street firms that have long pushed to tap into the $14.2 trillion retirement market.
Private credit is a little-understood but rapidly expanding part of the financial system, where investment firms lend to companies that struggle to get standard bank loans. Last year it grew to be worth $3 trillion, according to Morgan Stanley.
But unlike traditional stock and bond funds, these investments can be hard to sell quickly – meaning retirement savers could be stuck if markets turn.
‘Private credit is a complex product that may expose individuals to risks they do not entirely understand,’ economist Michael Szanto told the Daily Mail.
President Trump wants to put ‘alternative investment assets’ in your 401(k) plans
Sabrina Carpenter fronts a Dunkin’ ad campaign — one of the many consumer brands indirectly backed by private credit, now at the center of a push to bring riskier Wall Street bets into Americans’ 401(k)s
‘A lot of careful work needs to be undertaken for the suitability and safety for retail investors particularly in retirement accounts.’
Guidance published today builds on an executive order signed by President Donald Trump last August, which directed the Department of Labor to draw up rules allowing ‘alternative investment assets’ inside 401(k) plans.
Today’s proposal aims to protect employers from lawsuits if they offer these investments – a key barrier that has kept them out of most retirement plans until now.
It comes as the private credit boom has begun shows signs of strain. Some of Wall Street’s biggest firms – including Apollo, BlackRock and Ares – have been flooded with requests from investors trying to pull their money out. But the funds in many cases limited withdrawals – causing panic.
Many of the loans underpinning the private credit boom have been tied to the AI data center frenzy – linking the sector to another part of the economy now facing growing doubts over long-term profits.
As the ambitious goals of AI have collided with the realities of limited revenue from subscriptions, the shares of publicly traded private credit companies have tumbled.
Private credit also helps fund Roark Capital’s massive franchise empire, which includes Dunkin’, Arby’s, Buffalo Wild Wings, Sonic, Jimmy John’s, and Cheesecake Factory.
‘Private credit is limiting withdrawals to investors as cracks emerge and more and more financial experts ring the alarm,’ wrote Senator Elizabeth Warren on Bluesky. ‘What are Trump’s regulators doing?’
Blue Owl CEO Craig Packer at the NYSE during a CNBC interview in November 2025
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange — where jitters over risky ‘shadow bank’ lending and new plans to channel it into 401(k)s are raising fresh fears for everyday investors
Shares of private credit lender Blue Owl fell throughout 2025 as concerns began circulating about the company’s exposure to risky AI lending.
Then failed deals and policies to limit investor withdrawals in January and February began a wholesale market route.
Traditional banks have retreated from riskier types of lending over the last 20 years, which created an opening for private credit.
‘Private Credit is going through a challenging moment,’ Szanto told us. ‘It took off after commercial banks stepped back from some lending after the global financial crisis.’
But the industry is still young, and lacks many of the institutions and safeguards that can be found in other lending markets.
Fiona Greig, global head of Investor Research and Policy at Vanguard, said that private assets could help boost your retirement savings, but they ‘may not be appropriate for all types of investors.’
Ironically, the executives who manage retirement funds are not enthusiastic about private credit assets. In a survey of retirement administrators last year, research firm Callan found that 90 percent opposed allowing private credit assets in 401(k) plans.
