Australia Senate, Adam Bandt election results LIVE: Dramatic twist in fight for Adam Bandt’s seat as fresh results pour in – but not everyone agrees

The fight for Kooyong remains tight just hours after Dr Monique Ryan walked back her election night victory claim.

The Teal MP’s margin over Liberal candidate Amelia Hamer in the blue-ribbon electorate in Melbourne’s leafy inner east has shrunk to just 992 votes on Tuesday, with 78.4 per cent of the vote counted.

The former paediatric neurologist declared victory on Saturday night, with her husband holding up a ‘Kooyong we did it!’ sign before she addressed supporters.

But on Monday Ryan said she no longer felt safe in the contest, declaring the outcome was a ’50-50′ proposition.

‘Things were looking good on the night, in (election analyst) Antony Green we trusted,’ she told ABC Radio Melbourne on Monday morning.

‘But postal votes have been very much pro the conservative side so I think at this point Kooyong is very much in the air. It’s possible (I could lose).’

Daily Mail Australia’s political editor Peter van Onselen said if the postal vote trend favouring the Liberals continues, Dr Ryan will lose the seat.

‘That is the most likely scenario to play out, but it’s close and trends can change so the seat remains in doubt.’

He is certainly not afraid of making big political calls.

On Monday he predicted Greens Leader Adam Bandt was a ‘goner’, barring a miracle.

And now he has disagreed with the ABC’s legendary election analyst, Antony Green, who said on Monday he believes Bandt will hang on to his seat.

Read PVO’s incisive analysis here:

While it may well be one of the stupidest things to do when it comes to political psephology, I’m not sure I agree with the ABC’s election analyst Antony Green that Greens leader Adam Bandt will ‘probably win’ his inner city seat of Melbourne.

While I accept that it is possible, I still think it would take a minor miracle for Bandt to claw back enough votes in the postal count to overtake the Labor challenger.

Bandt is currently more than 3,500 votes behind the Labor candidate, and while I understand that the current flow on preferences which overwhelmingly is favouring Labor won’t continue – for reasons too boring to go into – the size of the current lead for Labor coupled with how we know the Liberals directed their how to vote cards should be enough to edge Bandt (pictured, below) out.

That’s because on primary votes Labor won just over 31 percent and Liberals just under 19 percent.

With Liberals preferencing Labor, that adds up to 50 percent and therefore a win for Labor.

Yes not all Lib voters will preference the way they are told to, and a small showing of Lib volunteers handing out how to vote cards might mean some do their own thing and put Labor last.

But most will do what they are told to do. Added to that it really is hard to see One Nation voters putting the Greens ahead of Labor, and they got 2.3 percent support.

That’s votes more likely to go to Labor than the Greens.

It will be close, much closer than it currently is in the count. But I’m sticking with Bandt to lose rather than full off a miracle comeback.

Green is about to retire. If he’s wrong and I’m right, maybe he’s already switched off his usually accurate thinking about the numbers.

If not, recognising the risks of contradicting the great man of election analysis, someone I have long respected and absolutely still do, maybe I need to take an early retirement myself.

Or make better use of having Greens mobile in my phone once he’s retired, to double check with the master what’s happening first next time, and never again contradict his judgement!

As we all know, Peter Dutton’s political career has gone up in smoke.

The former Opposition Leader is no doubt still dazed by his humiliating electoral drubbing.

But there is perhaps one thing that might still bring a smile to his face.

Greens leader Adam Bandt is still very much in danger of losing his Melbourne seat.

A huge five per cent swing to Labor’s Sarah Witty saw Bandt’s primary vote drop to 41 per cent.

This is despite the Greens leader prematurely declaring that he would hold on to his seat in a bizarre midnight address on Saturday.

The Australian Electoral Commission is currently re-throwing preferences to find a winner – as Bandt anxiously awaits his political future.

However, the ABC’s chief election analyst Antony Green insisted he could still hang on.

‘I’m not convinced (he will lose the seat),’ Green told 7.30 on Monday night.

‘If (the current flow of preferences) continues throughout the rest of the count, Labor will win that seat.

‘But I don’t think the rest of the votes will work that way. Adam Bandt will still probably win.’