But Powell also would not commit to any kind of timing. He said the job market looks OK at the moment, even if “it is a curious kind of balance” where fewer new workers are chasing after fewer new jobs. Inflation, meanwhile, still has the potential to push higher because of Trump’s tariffs.
In sum, Powell said that “the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance.”
Attendees eat lunch during the Kansas City Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium in Moran, Wyoming, US, on Saturday. Credit: Bloomberg
Treasury yields tumbled in the bond market as bets built that the Fed would cut its main interest rate in September. Traders see an 83 per cent chance of that, up from 75 per cent a day earlier, according to data from CME Group.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.25 per cent from 4.33 per cent late Thursday. The two-year Treasury yield, which more closely tracks expectations for Fed action, sank to 3.69 per cent from 3.79 per cent in a notable move for the bond market.
On Wall Street, stocks of smaller companies led the way. They can benefit more from lower interest rates because of their need to borrow money to grow. The smaller stocks in the Russell 2000 index surged 3.9 per cent for its best day since April and more than doubled the S&P 500’s rally.
Homebuilders jumped on hopes that easier interest rates could encourage more people to buy homes. Lennar, PulteGroup and D.R. Horton all rose more than 5 per cent.
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Travel companies, meanwhile, climbed amid hopes that easier interest rates could help US households spend more. Norwegian Cruise Line rallied 7.2 per cent, Delta Air Lines flew 6.7 per cent higher and Caesars Entertainment rose 7 per cent.
Shares of Nio, a Chinese electric-vehicle maker, that trade in the United States leaped 14.4 per cent after it began pre-sales of its flagship premium SUV model, the ES8.
Intel climbed 5.5 per cent after Trump said the chip company has agreed to give the US government a 10 per cent stake in its business.
Nvidia rose 1.7 per cent to trim its loss for the week. The company, whose chips are powering much of the world’s move in to artificial-intelligence technology, had seen its stock struggle recently amid criticism that it and other AI superstars shot too high, too fast and became too expensive.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said on Friday that the company is discussing a potential new computer chip designed for China with the Trump administration. The chips are graphics processing units, or GPUs, a type of device used to build and update a range of AI systems. But they are less powerful than Nvidia’s top semiconductors today, which cannot be sold to China due to US national security restrictions.
All told, the S&P 500 jumped 96.74 points to 6,466.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average leaped 846.24 to 45,631.74, and the Nasdaq composite rallied 396.22 to 21,496.53.
In sharemarkets abroad, Germany’s DAX returned 0.3 per cent after government data showed that its economy shrank by 0.3 per cent in the second quarter compared with the previous three-month period.
Indexes rose across much of Asia, with stocks climbing 1.4 per cent in Shanghai and 0.9 per cent in South Korea.
AP
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