In numbers… a fierce struggle between Trump and Biden before "Tuesday" Promised

The American newspaper Newsweek reported in an extensive report on the upcoming US presidential elections that former President Donald Trump would be most capable of defeating President Joe Biden in the popular vote as well as the electoral college if the 2024 elections were held today… according to recent opinion poll averages.

While current US President Joe Biden has seen some improvement in recent national and state polls, overall it appears that the Democratic incumbent He is fighting an arduous battle against his Republican rival.

Trump is considered And “Biden” Two polarizing figures, with polls showing that they are unpopular with the majority of Americans.

However, it appears that "Trump" He currently has a very narrow lead in national polls while Biden also trails the former president in all battleground states, according to poll averages compiled by ABC News’ polling analysis site FiveThirtyEight. And Real Clear Polling."

The American magazine indicated that presidential elections are determined by the Electoral College, which grants all A mandate requires a certain number of Electoral College votes, with a presidential candidate needing 270 electoral votes to win, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success.

The national polling average conducted by FiveThirtyEight currently shows Trump with 41.7% support compared to 40.9% for Biden – a difference of 0.8% for the former president, The average was last updated on Saturday.

By comparison, the real poll average, last updated on April 22, has Trump leading by 0.3% -44.8% versus 44.5%. .

In general, political analysts see 7 states as decisive battlegrounds for the 2024 presidential elections: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Trump and Biden are expected to do a large portion of their campaigning and spending in these competitive states.

Here’s a look On the average polling rates in each of the battleground states.

Trump is ahead Currently on "Biden" In Arizona by 3.6 points, 43.2% to 39.7%, according to the FiveThirtyEight average.

The state’s real polling average, last updated on April 13, shows a lead Trump by 5 points, 49.3%, compared to 44.3% for Biden.

Biden defeated On "Trump" By a narrow margin in Arizona in the 2020 elections, a difference of less than 11 thousand votes.

The Democrat won by 49.4% compared to 49.1% for the Republicans, which is the first time that a presidential candidate has won State Democrat since 1996.

Georgia

Trump leads Biden by an average of 6.3 points in Georgia, according to FiveThirtyEight. The Democrat has the support of about 39.3% of Georgia voters, compared to 45.6% who support his Republican rival.

The Real Clear Polling average, which was last updated, revealed On April 16, Trump rose by 4 points, by 49.7% to 45.7%.

Like Arizona, Biden narrowly won Georgia in The year 2020.

Biden got The state won by less than 12 thousand votes, with 49.5% of the vote compared to 49.3% for Trump.

Before Biden’s victory, no Democratic presidential candidate had won Georgia in a year 1992.

Michigan

Michigan voters favor Trump by a margin of 3.2%, according to the FiveThirtyEight average. Trump has 42.8% support, while Biden has 39.6%. 4% support Biden, 3 points behind the former president.

Trump narrowly won Michigan in the 2016 election, but The state then went for Biden in 2020.

Nevada

Although Nevada has chosen Democratic candidates in every presidential election since 2008, average polls currently show Trump leading over Biden.

The FiveThirtyEight average has Republicans 43.3% and Democrats 37.2%.

Similarly, the real poll average, last updated on April 13, has Trump at 48.8% and Biden at 44%.

Biden defeated Trump in Nevada in 2020 by a margin of more than 33,000 votes. The margin was 2.4%, or 50.1% to 47.7%.

North Carolina

North Carolina last went for a Democratic presidential candidate in the 2008 election.

But with a Democratic governor in the state, Democrats hope Biden can win there as well.

And with However, the FiveThirtyEight poll average shows Trump leading by 5.4 points, or 45.1% versus 39.7%.

While the clear real poll average , which was last updated on April 13, moved Trump up 4.8 points, 48.8% to 44%.

Pennsylvania

The race is close in Pennsylvania, where Trump leads by an average of only 1.1%, compared to 43.0% for Biden, who received 41.9%, according to FiveThirtyEight.

The Real Clear poll actually shows Biden with a very narrow lead of 0.4%, 46.7% to Trump’s 46.3%.&nbsp ;

However, this average was last updated on April 16.

Biden won Pennsylvania in 2020 After Trump won the state in 2016.

The former Republican president’s victory there was the first for a Republican Party candidate since 1988.