New poll predicts doomsday scenario for Republicans in all seven toss-up Senate races as Trump eyes scapegoat

The final batch of polling of this year’s midterms from the New York Times paints a worst-case scenario for Republicans across the country.
Research from the New York Times and the Siena Research Institute has found Democrats leading or at least tied in key battleground races.
The Times poll has Democrat Abdul El Sayed up in Michigan by more than a double-digit margin over his Republican opponent Mike Rogers, 53 to 42.
The poll was conducted before Democrat Haley Stevens endorsed Rogers on Sunday.
In Texas, the poll also predicts a flip of the Lone Star State’s US Senate seat by Democrat James Talarico, who was found leading his Republican opponent Ken Paxton 50 to 43.
The poll also predicts a flip in Maine, where it puts incumbent Republican Susan Collins down to Democratic challenger Troy Jackson, 45 to 51. Those results are within the margin of error.
In Ohio, a state President Donald Trump has won three times, the poll also found Republican incumbent John Husted likely to lose to his Democratic opponent, Sherrod Brown. The Times poll sees Brown up 49 to 44 over Husted.
The Times also predicts a flip of the open US Senate seat in Iowa, where Democrat Josh Turek is up by a point over Republican Ashley Hinson, 48 to 47.
US President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a midterm campaign rally at Five Flags Center in Dubuque, Iowa on November 1, 2026
The US Capitol building is seen on a cloudy day on Capitol Hill in Washington in September
Your browser does not support iframes.
Another Republican that the poll sees being ousted on Election Day on Tuesday is Kansas Republican Roger Marshall.
Marshall was found to be down, 44 to 49 to his Democratic opponent Adam Hamilton.
Alaska is also predicted to go the way of the Democrats, with another Republican incumbent, Dan S. Sullivan, losing his seat to former Democrat lawmaker Mary Peltola.
The poll, however, contained one shocking admission.
The Times wrote that ‘this cycle, Democrats are once again responding to Times/ Siena polls at a much higher rate than Republicans.’
‘Across these final battleground polls, registered White Democrats were about 30 percent likelier to take the poll than registered White Republicans,’ the Times added.
President Donald Trump is crisscrossing the country and holding a slew of campaign rallies in an effort to drive turnout for Republicans.
However, Trump’s advisers have privately admitted that he can’t bear the blame if the results are far from stellar for Republicans on Tuesday night.
‘The president can only do so much,’ one Trump political advisor told the Daily Mail. ‘If we do fall short in the midterms, it’s not because of the president’s lack of trying or lack of effort.’
Throughout his many campaign stops, Trump has urged supporters at his rallies to act like he is on the ballot, because although his name is not, his legacy is, and he does not want to spend his last two years in office as a lame duck.
Republicans currently hold 53 seats in the Senate, and Democrats need to pick up at least four of them to control the upper chamber in the next Congress.
In the US House of Representatives, Democrats need to flip at least three seats.
