SURVEY. European elections: Jordan Bardella’s RN list well ahead in voting intentions, Raphaël Glucksmann three points behind Valérie Hayer
Cairo: Hani Kamal El-Din
franceinfo would like to point out that a poll is not a prediction, but a snapshot of opinion at a given moment. A poll is necessarily accompanied by a margin of error, also known as a “margin of uncertainty” or “confidence interval”. The smaller the sample, the greater the margin of error.
The RN list led by Jordan Bardella for the European elections of June 9, 2024 is well ahead in voting intentions, at 32%, according to the Ipsos poll for franceinfo and The Parisian published Saturday April 13.
With a third of voting intentions, the RN list is relatively stable over one month (+1 point). Far behind, the Renaissance-La République en Marche, Modem, Horizons and UDI list, led by Valérie Hayer, is credited with 16% of the votes, down two points over one month. The gap is narrowing with the list carried by Raphaël Glucksmann (Socialist Party and Public Place) which gains two points, to 13% of voting intentions.
Behind this trio, the lists La France insoumise by Manon Aubry and Europe Ecologie-Les Verts by Marie Toussaint are at 7%. Manon Aubry remains stable, while Marie Toussaint loses 1.5 points in one month. François-Xavier Bellamy who is on the LR list is credited with 6.5% (-0.5 points) and is on par with Marion Maréchal for Reconquête who however gains 1.5 points. The PCF list led by Léon Deffontaines totals 3% of voting intentions (-0.5 points).
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