It has been a groggy start for many Liberals this morning, as they contemplate the train wreck from last night.
MPs I have talked and texted with this morning seem to think that shadow treasurer Angus Taylor will emerge as the clear frontrunner to take over the leadership now that Peter Dutton has lost the election as well as his seat.
But they have concerns that Taylor’s stewardship of the Opposition’s economic messaging was poor, including during the campaign, coupled with his questionable performances in parliament.
‘He’s not great but might be all we have for now,’ one Liberal MP said.
The feeling is that deputy leader Sussan Ley might be ‘too risky and too loose’ to take over.
Ley is also 63 years of age, older than the PM.
‘But as a woman perhaps that will help us at this time,’ the Liberal MP said.
Ley might be worth considering as a stop gap contender, but it’s hard to think she wouldn’t risk being undermined from day one.
At any rate, as part of Dutton’s leadership team she was part of the failure that played out last night. That has to count against her.
Other options who would involve renewal include defence spokesman and WA MP Andrew Hastie or Victorian MP Dan Tehan, but if they are to emerge as serious contenders ‘it will only become clear in the days to come, not this weekend’, the Liberal source argued.
Hastie is certainly a long-term option seen as capable of winning, but is he ready right now?
Tehan might be too folksy to be taken seriously. One name I would like to throw in the mix is Sydney MP for Berowra Julian Leeser.
A moderate who resigned from Peter Dutton’s frontbench over the Voice, he might serve as a clear sign of a clean out and new direction for the party, which voters seem to want.
But who are the moderate Liberals left in the parliament to get behind him?
Most have lost their seats, both at this election and the last against Teals. It is slim pickings for the Liberals when considering new leaders.
Dutton has largely been a one-man band for the last three years. The dominant figure to be sure.
The lesser names now left don’t jump out at you as natural successors.
Which is perhaps why Taylor is the favourite, simply because he’s the most obvious contender.
But how long will Taylor last if he doesn’t shine quickly after taking over? Liberals have a habit of blowing themselves apart in opposition, especially when times are tough….and these are certainly the toughest of times.