Wall Street falls as oil rises; ASX set to slip
Damian Troise and Alex Veiga
Updated ,first published
Wall Street closed out August on a downbeat note as stocks fell and the price of oil rose after the US launched its first military action in a month against Iran.
The S&P 500 index fell 0.3 per cent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.7 per cent and the Nasdaq composite slipped 0.1 per cent.
The Australian sharemarket is set to retreat, with futures at 6.15am AEST pointing to a fall of 22 points, or 0.2 per cent, at the open. The ASX lost 0.2 per cent on Monday. The Australian dollar was trading at US71.64¢.
August had no shortage of turbulence for the market, but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each posted a gain for the month after losing ground in July and June. The Dow, meanwhile, managed its fifth-straight monthly gain.
Monday’s losses were broad, with nearly every sector within the benchmark S&P 500 finishing in the red. Energy stocks, though, notched gains. Exxon Mobil rose 2.7 per cent and Chevron rose 2.1 per cent.
On the losing side, Edison International slumped 23.1 per cent and PG&E fell 20.1 per cent for the two steepest declines. That followed reports about potential California wildfire legislation that would allow insurers to sue utilities over related claims.
Amazon fell 2.5 per cent after The Wall Street Journal reported that the Federal Trade Commission and more than 20 states are preparing to sue the online retail giant over claims the company manipulated prices on its platform.
The US war with Iran remained a key focus for Wall Street. US forces struck Iranian rocket launchers on the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday. Meanwhile, the United Arab Emirates said it intercepted an Iranian drone over its waters on Monday.
The aggressive actions follow a lull in activity in the US war with Iran, which has lasted more than six months.
The war has curtailed traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for about 20 per cent of the world’s oil shipments. Oil prices remain high after an initial surge earlier in the war and that has made everything from gasoline to shipped goods more expensive.
The price of Brent crude, the international standard, rose 2.7 per cent to settle at $US90.49 per barrel on Monday. Brent fell below $US80 earlier in August but has since moved higher with no sign of an imminent end to the war.
The national average for gasoline in August has been above $US4 per gallon every day of the month for the first time ever, according to the AAA. It has been the most expensive August at the pump on record, outpacing even the enormous supply chain crunch during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2022.
Higher energy prices have fuelled already stubbornly high inflation. That has been weighing on household spending and consumer confidence. It has also given the Federal Reserve a more complicated path ahead for its interest rate policy.
The rate of inflation remains well above 3 per cent, which is far beyond the Fed’s 2 per cent target. Wall Street expects the central bank to raise interest rates at least once before the year ends in an effort to cool inflation. On Friday, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said that inflation is still too high and suggested a rate hike might be necessary in the coming months.
The Fed gets its next inflation update on Sept. 11, just days ahead of its next meeting to determine interest rate policy. Wall Street is forecasting a 66 per cent chance that the Fed will raise its benchmark rate at that meeting, according to CME FedWatch.
“While a September hike is not a foregone conclusion, we expect the Fed to have limited tolerance for meaningful upside inflation surprises,” wrote Brock Weimer, investment strategy analyst at Edward Jones, in a research note.
The yield on the two-year Treasury, which closely tracks expectations about Fed moves, held steady at 4.34 per cent, where it was late Friday. That’s up significantly from about 3.50 per cent at the beginning of 2026.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.75 per cent from 4.73 per cent late Friday. That’s back up around the level seen two weeks ago when the Trump administration took the unusual step of announcing it would intervene in the bond market.
Any increase to interest rates that could cool inflation also risks hurting the jobs market. Later this week, the US reports August jobs data. In July, the US job market stalled unexpectedly as employers cut 23,000 jobs. Labor Department revisions slashed another 103,000 jobs from May and June payrolls.
Company updates helped move several stocks Monday. GameStop rose 2.9 per cent after the video game retailer provided a preliminary second-quarter earnings outlook above its year-ago results. Shares of Aon slid 9.5 per cent as the company announced that it was buying insurance broker USI Insurance Services from private equity firm KKR in a deal valued at $17 billion, including debt.
All told, the S&P 500 fell 25.62 points to 7,686.14. It rose 2.6 per cent in August and is up 12.3 per cent so far this year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 374.09 points to 53,185.90. The Nasdaq fell 31.53 points to 26,370.89. The index, which is heavily weighted with big tech stocks, posted a 3.9 per cent gain for the month and is up 13.5 per cent this year.
