Pauline Hanson’s One Nation overtakes Labor as most popular party in bombshell new poll
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation has surged to become Australia’s most popular political party in a shock new national poll, overtaking Labor as the highest primary vote and leaving the Coalition trailing in third place.
The latest YouGov survey, conducted between September 1 and September 8, found One Nation’s primary vote has climbed to 30 per cent, up four percentage points since the previous poll.
By contrast, Labor’s support fell three points to 26 per cent, while the Liberal-National Coalition slumped to just 18 per cent, down three points.
The result marks a dramatic shift in Australia’s political landscape, with One Nation now holding a four-point lead over the Albanese Government on primary vote support.
The Greens remained unchanged on 12 per cent, while independents lifted two points to seven per cent.
Zali Steggall and Allegra Spender’s Community Strong Australia teal party recorded two per cent support, with other minor parties accounting for five per cent.
Despite Labor’s slide in the primary vote, Anthony Albanese’s government continues to hold a narrow lead over the Coalition on a traditional two-party-preferred basis, with Labor ahead 52 per cent to 48 per cent.
However, when measured directly against One Nation, Labor’s advantage has narrowed significantly.
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation has surged into first place on primary vote support, reaching 30 per cent in the latest poll
The poll showed Labor leading One Nation 53 per cent to 47 per cent on a two-party-preferred basis, a three-point swing towards Hanson’s party since the previous survey.
The poll revealed One Nation’s support was strong across the gender divide, but particularly among men.
One Nation attracted 32 per cent of the male vote, outpacing Labor on 26 per cent and the Coalition on 20 per cent.
Among female voters, One Nation was also the top choice with 28 per cent, ahead of Labor on 26 per cent and the Coalition on 17 per cent.
The Greens polled higher with women than men, receiving 14 per cent of the female vote, compared to nine per cent among men.
The age breakdown revealed a clear generational split in voting intentions.
Young voters aged 18 to 34 preferred the Greens, who led on 27 per cent, just ahead of Labor on 26 per cent.
One Nation followed on 16 per cent, while the Coalition secured only 11 per cent.
Labor performed most strongly among voters aged 35 to 49, taking 32 per cent.
Labor remains narrowly ahead of both One Nation and the Coalition on a two-party-preferred basis
One Nation was close behind on 29 per cent, the Coalition on 17 per cent, and the Greens on 10 per cent.
One Nation was dominant among older Australians, attracting 38 per cent support from voters aged 50 and over, well ahead of Labor on 24 per cent and the Coalition on 23 per cent.
The poll is a concerning result for the Coalition, with the party falling to a primary vote lower than when former Opposition Leader Sussan Ley was replaced by Angus Taylor.
If replicated at an election, the party could be reduced to about 10 seats, according to Director of Public Data Paul Smith.
“The Coalition recording a lower primary vote than under Sussan Ley would reduce the Coalition to less than a cricket team in the House of Representatives,” Smith told News24.
