Race-by-race preview and tips for Rosehill on Saturday

RACE 5 – 1.50PM DENNIS JAMIESON HCP (1300m)

2. Razeta gets back in the run so she needs luck at the right time but she looks to have found the right grade of race. The four-year-old has won just three of her 17 starts but 12 of those have been in feature races. She got a pass mark first up in group company before running on late to be beaten two lengths by Gringotts at Rosehill. That was in a BM88 against the boys. Third up she is back in grade against her own sex. Third up last campaign she was also 1400m back to 1300m and finished midfield, beaten three lengths in the Silver Eagle. Have been guilty of underestimating
9. Miss Hades. No more. She steps in Saturday grade for the first time but is taking it all in her stride at the moment and Gary Portelli appears to have found the perfect assignment. Has tactical speed. A big advantage over a couple of her key rivals.
How to play it: Razeta E/W.

RACE 6 – 2.25PM HOT ROD & CUSTOM SHOW HCP (1200m)

On the evidence of his first-up win, 1. Let’s Try has come back better again. It’s all started to click for the four-year-old. It took him six starts to break his maiden. Now he has won three of his last four starts. He just had to learn on the job. There doesn’t look to be a lot of pressure on paper so he’ll bounce out, settle in the first couple and get his chance to chalk up win number four. 9. Ostraka has the makings of a handy three-year-old. Like the way he won his maiden before being deep-ended in group company a month later. His past form suggests 1400m is more his go but be wary if the market suggests he is ready. Could prove to be the best horse here. Patience is starting to wear a little thin with 7. Cigar Flick but she is better than what she has shown recently.
How to play it: Let’s Try to win.

RACE 7 – 3PM FAREWELL JAMES ROSS SPRINT (1100m)

Happy to take the punt that Nathan Doyle will have
12. Kipsbay ready to fire first up despite being 47 weeks between runs. Running the five-year-old in a BM94 might be a hint in itself. The sprinter has won three of his six starts since being transferred to Doyle with his first-up win at Eagle Farm last campaign was particularly impressive. That saw him start $2.20 against Antino second up. Dylan Gibbons won’t have to spend a penny early to find cover in behind a hot tempo set by 15. Kazou having drawn barrier 1. Carries 53.5kg in this company and like the way he has trialled up ahead of his return, even allowing for the fact that he has been impressive trialler. 11. Fox Fighter looks dangerously set up to cause a blowout. His pattern doesn’t see him win often now he has found his level but he has a surprisingly good record over the Rosehill 1100m and a drying track plays to his strengths.
How to play it: Kipsbay to win.

RACE 8 – 3.40PM VALE LONHRO HCP (1500m)

10. Iknowastar went fast in front first up. It was a brave run to be beaten a length with 61kg on his back. The four-year-old has a history of improving into his campaign too. The Bjorn Baker-trained gelding is up in grade second up but drops 6kg because of that. Most significantly is the map. He looks the only leader engaged and should be able to dictate from the outset. We saw how dynamic he was from that controlling position last preparation as he raced his way through the grades. He has won eight of his past 12 starts and there still looks to be more to come. His main threats are first up. Nine-year-old 9. Riyazan was terrific in two runs for Team Hawkes and his recent trial suggests he has come back. Just didn’t run out a strong 2000m when second to Naval College. Maps beautifully.
How to play it: Iknowastar to win.

RACE 9 – 4.20PM MATT BEHRMANN HCP (1800m)

1. Sir Lucan is slugged with 61.5kg in this grade of race. No easy task but he comes back to benchmark company and maps to lead. He has been at his most effective from that position since he started racing in Australia. In his two first-up runs for Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott he won at Randwick over 2000m from in front. He was dominant too, while over the spring he ran Soulcombe to a 2.7L margin. Three trials suggest he is very forward. He is one-paced but he’ll fight. 8. Premise had no excuses in the G3 Epona Stakes last start. She charged to the line the start prior, making ground up the fence at the end of a mile. Perhaps a drop back to 1800m suits. Tactics could be decisive for 4. Andalus from the wide draw.
How to play it: Sir Lucan E/W.

RACE 10 – 4.55PM LUKE LUCAS HCP (1300m)

Wish this was 1400m for 13. Ivan’s Hero but it’s still a winnable race for the four-year-old. His two runs back have been down the Flemington straight. That was new to him. First up over 1200m he stuck on well to run second in a busy finish as a $5.50 chance. He reappeared four weeks later over 1100m. That was too sharp. The beaten margin is deceptive. He was crowded late. He switched from Melbourne to Sydney with success last campaign winning at Rosehill over 1400m from outside of the leader. 7. Starman is now winless for 119 weeks. He had excuses at Wyong last start, forced to the middle of the track. The two that stuck to the inside fought out the finish. Yet another placing. That’s now four straight minors. Nash Rawiller jumps back on. 2. Diamond Diesel comes through Provincial Midway Qualifiers which read well for this. Found winning form in two runs last campaign.
How to play it: Ivan’s Hero to win.

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Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au